Bangladesh institutions embrace delta planning

Published: 16 March 2017

Bangladesh is gathering experience on the use of scenarios through the Bangladesh Delta Plan, the National Water Management Plan, and the 5 Year Plans. To create continuity in the use of scenarios and to avoid that valuable scenario knowledge for future practice is lost, a study was undertaken to explore how scenario delta planning could be embedded in the institutions of Bangladesh.

As a follow-up on the report, on 1 March 2017 representatives of the General Economics Division (GED), and the Water Resources Planning Organization (WARPO), discussed the outcomes of the study and implications for follow-up.  Prof. Shamsul Alam, Senior Secretary to the Government of Bangladesh said: “Through formulation of the Bangladesh Delta Plan, scenarios are introduced in a structured way, and we’ll like to continue it. WARPO is the best place to facilitate this. GED will work together with WARPO for this purpose.”

Dealing with uncertainty in delta planning

Scenarios have an important role in delta planning as they offer a way to deal with uncertainty. In scenario development, narratives of possible future development of a delta are formulated. Deltares expert Chris Seijger: ‘’This study reviews the use of scenarios in Bangladesh delta planning and concludes that various notions of scenario delta planning exist. Additionally the study clarifies what precisely should be institutionally embedded by discussing 15 tasks of scenario delta planning.”

These tasks relate to uptake in planning system, develop and revise scenarios, link scenarios to strategies,  research and capacity building. Recommendations on giving scenarios an explicit position in the Bangladesh Planning System are provided (5 Year Plans, other sectoral plans, Delta Commission).

Maaike Maarse (Deltares) explaining scenarios

Report permanently available on ResearchGate

The study was conducted by experts from Deltares, WARPO (Water Resources Planning Organization), Wageningen Environmental Research and BUET (Bangladesh University of Engineering Technology), under Nuffic-NICHE BGD 155 project ‘Scenario development in Integrated Water Resources Management: Coping with the Future Challenges in Bangladesh’.

Deltares also provided training sessions for professionals in Bangladesh on using scenarios in delta planning.