Kustlijnzorg project : statistical modelling of the impact of nourishments on the beach and dune systems

A stochastic model has been developed, based on the historical trend analysis of long-term yearlyrecordedJarkus-data, in order to describe the long-term dynamics of Coastal State Indicators (e.g. MCLposition). The model includes mathematical representations of the most relevant phenomena: long-termtrend, influence of nearshore bar dynamics and impact of nourishments.