Due to limited water and agriculture land resources, high percentages of the national demand for food are imported, and some Middle-East countries traditionally invest in agricultural production elsewhere in the world. Drinking water is mostly provided through groundwater or desalination of seawater, powered either by fossil fuel or (more recently) solar power. These strategies ensure food and water security, but also result in vulnerability. Food importing countries are dependent on trade-relationships and production circumstances elsewhere, e.g. current grain crisis due to the Russia-Ukraine war.
Creating the Future
In 2022, the World Expo (EXPO2020) themed “Creating the Future” took place in Dubai. The theme chosen for the Dutch Pavillion was “Uniting Water, Energy and Food”. Part of the Dutch contribution to the Expo was the preparation of a high-level trilateral summit, together with Jordan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) on Water, Food, and Energy.
To prepare the discussions during this Summit, the Netherlands together with Jordan and the UAE initiated in 2021 a research collaboration and knowledge transfer involving academic, research and governmental institutions from the three countries through the implementation of the project “Assessing the WEF nexus ‘uniting Water, Energy and Food’ at the WEF summit”.
The Dutch technical contribution was led by the consortium formed by Deltares, Wageningen University and Research (WUR), and the Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO). This collaboration project was financed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands.
A strategic analysis of water, energy, and food policies
The aim of the project was to support the multi-sectoral dialogue by conducting a strategic analysis of water, energy, and food policies in relevant case studies in these 3 countries through a participatory systems analysis and under the nexus perspective. The three cases were:
- Jordan: Food availability under water scarcity and high energy prices. This case was conducted at national level.
- UAE: Increase or at least maintain the production of strategic food items without further pressurizing the water and energy systems. This case was conducted at national level.
- NL: Horticultural production and the interactions with water, energy and land. This case focuses on the Greenport West-Holland, a cluster comprising horticultural production, trade and handling of products and logistics. Private enterprises, government and research and knowledge institutes are member of the Greenport West-Holland.
A participatory system analysis approach was used to conduct the strategic analysis and following Blue Earth co-creation concept information was processed, communicate and visualised. Through training, workshops and the use of approaches and tools the consortium worked jointly with country coordination teams and relevant stakeholders.
The approach started with the training of the country teams on system dynamics for the nexus analysis, group model building and dashboard development and use. This training provided the trainees the tools to facilitate country workshops. Each country workshop paid attention to its own with the participation of relevant decision-makers and stakeholders. In this workshop key WEF processes, drivers, impacts and potential interventions were identified and discussed, together with data needs.
Based on the discussion a system dynamic model was build for each country case which allow interactive exploration of the impact of policies affecting the WEF Nexus in a participatory setting depending on the case study specific objectives. The cases included the study of adaptation measures identified by stakeholders under future socio-economic and climate scenarios.
Additionally, a planning dashboard was co-developed with stakeholders for each case to communicate and visualize relevant outcomes of interest.